Paternò vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FER
2 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
SSS
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
PAT
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
PAT
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 2
CRO
35%
27%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
LAQ
2 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 0
LAQ
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LAQ
2 - 2
AVE
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |