Patacona CF vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
17º
15º
11
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 62 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 59 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 57 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 52 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 52 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 49 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 49 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 49 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 47 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 46 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 45 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 45 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 42 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 39 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 27 |
17º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 26 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patacona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 2
JOV
36%
27%
38%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
PCF
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UTI
1 - 1
PCF
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 1
PCF
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 5
VIL
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ATZ
3 - 0
RAY
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 1
JOV
22%
26%
52%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
0 - 3
RAY
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 1
NUC
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |