Scottish Championship round 35

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United analysis

Partick Thistle Ayr United
57 ELO 59
4.5% Tilt -9.9%
1134º General ELO ranking 1805º
13º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Partick Thistle
25.9%
Draw
31.4%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Partick Thistle
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Partick Thistle
-1%
+22%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Partick Thistle
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2019
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
57%
24%
19%
57 59 2 0
20 Apr. 2019
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
48%
25%
26%
56 55 1 +1
13 Apr. 2019
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
69%
20%
12%
56 68 12 0
06 Apr. 2019
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
44%
27%
29%
56 57 1 0
30 Mar. 2019
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 3
Partick Thistle
PAR
44%
27%
29%
54 54 0 +2

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2019
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
57%
24%
19%
59 57 2 0
19 Apr. 2019
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 3
Ross County FC
ROS
34%
26%
40%
60 67 7 -1
12 Apr. 2019
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
49%
25%
26%
61 62 1 -1
09 Apr. 2019
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
58%
23%
20%
61 56 5 0
06 Apr. 2019
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
46%
25%
29%
61 62 1 0