Vaprus Pärnu vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
VAN
0 - 4
PAR
24%
21%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 1
FLO
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
KUR
4 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
KIV
4 - 1
PAR
22%
19%
59%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
TUL
73%
15%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
NOM
0 - 1
TUL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
RAK
2 - 0
NOM
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
NOM
1 - 1
FCP
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
LEV
0 - 1
NOM
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
NOM
7 - 1
KIV
72%
16%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |