Esiliiga Temporada Regular round 14

Vaprus Pärnu vs Levadia Tallinn II analysis

Vaprus Pärnu Levadia Tallinn II
52 ELO 48
31.1% Tilt 18.5%
2740º General ELO ranking 2807º
17º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
63.6%
Vaprus Pärnu
18.7%
Draw
17.7%
Levadia Tallinn II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.7%
Win probability
Levadia Tallinn II
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vaprus Pärnu
+3%
-37%
Levadia Tallinn II

ELO progression

Vaprus Pärnu
Levadia Tallinn II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2020
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
33%
25%
43%
52 47 5 0
16 Jul. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
3 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
47%
22%
31%
51 52 1 +1
11 Jul. 2020
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 5
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
13%
19%
68%
50 36 14 +1
06 Jul. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
43%
24%
33%
50 57 7 0
02 Jul. 2020
NOM
Nõmme United
2 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
73%
15%
12%
50 58 8 0

Matches

Levadia Tallinn II
Levadia Tallinn II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2020
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
2 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
30%
23%
48%
49 44 5 0
16 Jul. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
3 - 1
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
52%
21%
26%
48 47 1 +1
10 Jul. 2020
FCE
FC Elva
4 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
42%
24%
34%
49 49 0 -1
05 Jul. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
79%
13%
8%
49 37 12 0
02 Jul. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
3 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
62%
19%
19%
49 45 4 0