Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
6 - 0
FCE
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
NOM
0 - 3
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
FCE
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
VAN
2 - 3
PAR
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOM
26%
21%
52%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FLO
9%
18%
73%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
TAL
0 - 3
JKJ
9%
14%
78%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JKJ
0 - 1
TAM
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FCP
11 - 0
JKJ
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
JKJ
2 - 3
VAN
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |