Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-5
Parnahyba vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
70.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
4DE
3 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
OES
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
41%
24%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |