Parma vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 2
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
VNZ
2 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCC
0 - 0
VNZ
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PAL
3 - 1
VNZ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 0
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |