Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
49%
29%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 1
SSS
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
USA
49%
31%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
57%
27%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
PRG
36%
32%
32%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |