Parma vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
SPA
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAR
48%
31%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
NOV
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
PES
2 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
PES
0 - 0
REG
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
PES
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
PES
1 - 1
PAL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
GEN
0 - 1
PES
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |