Parma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
UDI
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LAZ
0 - 1
CAT
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |