Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 2
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
CAG
3 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAG
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |