Parma vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 2
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 3
PAR
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 1
FRO
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 2
ABN
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
CTT
0 - 0
ASC
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |