Paris FC U19 vs Metz U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
14º
5º
34
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 0
PAG
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 2
PAR
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
BBP
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
3 - 3
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
81%
12%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
DIJ
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
PAG
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |