PSG vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 3
PSG
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
PSG
26%
29%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
WOL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASS
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 4
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 2
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
REN
1 - 1
ASN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LHA
2 - 3
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |