PSG vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSG
23%
29%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PSG
1 - 0
NAN
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
PSG
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
STR
3 - 1
PSG
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
43%
29%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUX
38%
29%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
PSG
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |