PSG vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.7%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
5.8%
1.2%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
4 - 0
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
PSG
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
3 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 0
PSG
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AUB
7 - 0
SCT
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AUB
1 - 0
SAI
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FEI
2 - 2
AUB
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AUB
0 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUB
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |