USC Paredes vs Os Sandinenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
4º
3º
5
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 47 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 42 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 41 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 40 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 39 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 39 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 25 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 24 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSL
3 - 4
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 1
DUM
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
8%
19%
72%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
PEN
11%
21%
68%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Os Sandinenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 4
OSL
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 1
OSA
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
OSA
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
4 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |