USC Paredes vs Os Sandinenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
3º
2º
15
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 49 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 43 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 40 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 33 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSL
3 - 4
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 1
DUM
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
8%
19%
72%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
PEN
11%
21%
68%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Sandinenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 4
OSL
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 1
OSA
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
OSA
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
4 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |