Pardubice vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
12º
16º
15º
31
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
5 - 2
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
JAB
19%
25%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TEP
5 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BOH
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAR
11%
18%
70%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
1 - 2
ZBR
18%
20%
62%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HRA
2 - 1
ZBR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZBR
0 - 4
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JAB
3 - 1
ZBR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ZBR
2 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |