Paraná vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
81%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
CIA
2 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAS
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
COT
1 - 1
OPE
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 2
COT
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
COT
4 - 0
RIO
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CIA
4 - 1
COT
14%
21%
66%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
COT
4 - 0
CAB
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |