Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
1º
1º
33
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 58 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 47 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 25 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 15 |
14º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 2
PAF
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
2 - 0
CEL
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
PAF
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
0 - 1
OMO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 0
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
8 - 0
PAE
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OMO
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OMM
1 - 5
AEK
17%
27%
56%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
KAR
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |