Paone vs Thrasyvoulos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LAM
1 - 1
PAO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
DOX
0 - 0
PAO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
POL
1 - 3
PAO
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
AGN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAO
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thrasyvoulos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
THR
4 - 0
PFC
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
TRI
6 - 1
THR
72%
19%
10%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
THR
2 - 1
LEV
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ETH
0 - 2
THR
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
THR
4 - 1
MES
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |