PAOK vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
4º
1º
78
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
PAO
15%
22%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 2
BRU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 0
PAO
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAO
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAO
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
AEK
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |