PAOK B vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
6º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
PTF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
KAM
2 - 0
PTF
29%
24%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
PTF
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 2
PTF
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PTF
1 - 3
LEV
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 1
IRA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 1
MKN
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
MAK
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |