Gamma Ethniki round 23

Panthrakikos vs Moudania analysis

Panthrakikos Moudania
57 ELO 12
-2.5% Tilt -2.4%
2719º General ELO ranking 10501º
29º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
72.8%
Panthrakikos
16.5%
Draw
10.8%
Moudania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
Panthrakikos
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.8%
Win probability
Moudania
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Panthrakikos
+14%
-88%
Moudania

Points and table prediction

Panthrakikos
Their league position
Moudania
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
0
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nestos Chrisoupolis
52
78
46.5%
Panthrakikos
47
77
34%
Apollon Kalamaria
49
73
43%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
42
66
43%
Apollon Krya Vrysi
41
64
37%
PAO Kristonis
38
61
45%
AE Evosmou
35
53
44.5%
Orestis Orestiadas
10º
27
48
31%
Thermaikos Thermis
29
46
19.5%
Kilkisiakos
27
45
10º
19.5%
Chaniotis
16º
12
39
11º
22%
Iraklis Ammoudias
11º
23
38
12º
18%
Aris Avato
13º
21
37
13º
21.5%
Alexandroupolis FC
12º
21
36
14º
23.5%
Apollon Paralimniou
14º
20
35
15º
23.5%
Nea Amisou
15º
14
25
16º
55%
Aris Pigon
17º
12
20
17º
67%
Moudania
18º
0
10
18º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Panthrakikos
Moudania
Promotion
44.5% 0%
Mid-table
55.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Panthrakikos
Moudania
Aris Avato
PAO Kristonis
Aris Pigon
Nea Amisou
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Panthrakikos
Panthrakikos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
PFC
Panthrakikos
0 - 0
PAO Kristonis
PAK
64%
21%
15%
57 44 13 0
26 Jan. 2025
IRA
Iraklis Ammoudias
1 - 2
Panthrakikos
PFC
19%
23%
59%
57 24 33 0
19 Jan. 2025
PFC
Panthrakikos
0 - 0
Alexandroupolis FC
ASM
77%
15%
8%
57 24 33 0
12 Jan. 2025
APO
Apollon Kalamaria
1 - 2
Panthrakikos
PFC
24%
26%
50%
56 48 8 +1
05 Jan. 2025
PFC
Panthrakikos
4 - 1
Apollon Krya Vrysi
AKV
60%
22%
18%
56 44 12 0

Matches

Moudania
Moudania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
MOU
Moudania
0 - 3
Alexandroupolis FC
ASM
24%
22%
54%
13 25 12 0
26 Jan. 2025
AKV
Apollon Krya Vrysi
3 - 0
Moudania
MOU
80%
12%
8%
13 43 30 0
19 Jan. 2025
MOU
Moudania
0 - 3
Apollon Paralimniou
APP
17%
20%
63%
14 33 19 -1
05 Jan. 2025
MOU
Moudania
0 - 3
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
19%
21%
60%
15 37 22 -1
22 Dec. 2024
PNM
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
10 - 0
Moudania
MOU
78%
14%
9%
15 45 30 0