Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
4º
4º
78
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 3
PAO
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 3
PAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OFI
2 - 2
PAN
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
ARI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
KIF
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
AEK
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 3
AEK
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 2
GIA
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |