Pampilhosa vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIZ
2 - 0
PAM
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
PAM
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
3 - 0
PAM
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -3 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAM
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SOU
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
NAV
11%
18%
72%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SCF
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |