Campeonato de Portugal Grupo E round 17

Pampilhosa vs Carapinheirense analysis

Pampilhosa Carapinheirense
35 ELO 29
2.7% Tilt -4.1%
15018º General ELO ranking 16873º
314º Country ELO ranking 384º
ELO win probability
64.4%
Pampilhosa
18.8%
Draw
16.8%
Carapinheirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
Pampilhosa
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.8%
Win probability
Carapinheirense
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Pampilhosa
Carapinheirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pampilhosa
Pampilhosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2014
TOU
Tourizense
1 - 2
Pampilhosa
PAM
51%
24%
25%
35 39 4 0
29 Dec. 2013
ADM
Águias do Moradal
1 - 1
Pampilhosa
PAM
29%
24%
47%
35 25 10 0
22 Dec. 2013
PAM
Pampilhosa
2 - 4
Sourense
SOU
63%
19%
18%
36 31 5 -1
15 Dec. 2013
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
3 - 3
Pampilhosa
PAM
66%
20%
14%
36 45 9 0
08 Dec. 2013
PAM
Pampilhosa
0 - 1
AD Nogueirense
ADN
63%
20%
18%
37 32 5 -1

Matches

Carapinheirense
Carapinheirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2014
CAR
Carapinheirense
1 - 1
Sourense
SOU
40%
24%
36%
29 33 4 0
29 Dec. 2013
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
4 - 0
Carapinheirense
CAR
71%
18%
12%
30 43 13 -1
22 Dec. 2013
CAR
Carapinheirense
0 - 0
AD Nogueirense
ADN
47%
23%
29%
30 32 2 0
15 Dec. 2013
NAV
Naval
3 - 2
Carapinheirense
CAR
77%
15%
7%
31 57 26 -1
11 Dec. 2013
TOU
Tourizense
3 - 1
Carapinheirense
CAR
47%
25%
28%
32 34 2 -1