Palmeiras vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
PAL
13%
19%
67%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
TAC
2 - 2
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAU
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
TAC
2 - 2
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LQE
2 - 3
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |