Palmeiras vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 2
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
OES
0 - 2
PAL
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARN
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 4
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 2
FFL
24%
26%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 1
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
FFL
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |