Tercera Division XIII - Murcia round 20

El Palmar vs Lorca FC analysis

El Palmar Lorca FC
19 ELO 43
-5.5% Tilt 2.4%
11150º General ELO ranking 23251º
514º Country ELO ranking 6882º
ELO win probability
13.6%
El Palmar
21.9%
Draw
64.5%
Lorca FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
El Palmar
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.5%
Win probability
Lorca FC
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

El Palmar
Lorca FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

El Palmar
El Palmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2020
EGP
El Palmar
1 - 0
UD Los Garres
UDL
44%
25%
31%
20 21 1 0
22 Dec. 2019
CFC
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
4 - 1
El Palmar
EGP
29%
23%
48%
21 17 4 -1
18 Dec. 2019
EGP
El Palmar
1 - 2
Getafe
GET
6%
19%
75%
21 87 66 0
15 Dec. 2019
EGP
El Palmar
1 - 0
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
CAP
60%
21%
19%
21 17 4 0
08 Dec. 2019
MIN
Deportiva Minera
4 - 0
El Palmar
EGP
37%
24%
39%
22 20 2 -1

Matches

Lorca FC
Lorca FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2020
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
2 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
20%
26%
54%
44 31 13 0
21 Dec. 2019
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 2
Plus Ultra
PLU
91%
7%
2%
44 15 29 0
15 Dec. 2019
PUL
At. Pulpileño
0 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
18%
26%
56%
45 31 14 -1
08 Dec. 2019
LOR
Lorca FC
0 - 0
Muleño CF
MUL
87%
10%
3%
45 22 23 0
04 Dec. 2019
CAR
FC Cartagena B
1 - 1
Lorca FC
LOR
12%
22%
65%
45 22 23 0