Serie A round 1

Palermo FC vs SPAL analysis

Palermo FC SPAL
72 ELO 74
-32.1% Tilt -25.7%
529º General ELO ranking 2079º
27º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Palermo FC
26.8%
Draw
32.6%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
Palermo FC
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.6%
Win probability
SPAL
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palermo FC
-3%
-17%
SPAL

ELO progression

Palermo FC
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1962
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
52%
24%
25%
73 69 4 0
15 Apr. 1962
TOR
Torino
3 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
60%
22%
18%
74 76 2 -1
08 Apr. 1962
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
52%
25%
22%
74 74 0 0
01 Apr. 1962
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 3
Udinese
UDI
49%
25%
26%
74 65 9 0
25 Mar. 1962
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
48%
27%
26%
74 72 2 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1962
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 0
SPAL
SPA
39%
24%
38%
74 59 15 0
21 Jun. 1962
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
SPAL
SPA
53%
22%
26%
75 72 3 -1
31 May. 1962
SPA
SPAL
4 - 1
Juventus
JUV
25%
22%
53%
73 85 12 +2
30 Apr. 1962
SPA
SPAL
3 - 1
Novara
NOV
67%
18%
15%
73 59 14 0
25 Apr. 1962
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 2
SPAL
SPA
53%
22%
25%
72 73 1 +1