Palermo FC vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SAL
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
PAL
2 - 2
SIE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
PAL
0 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ROM
0 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ROM
4 - 2
SAL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ROM
1 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |