Serie B round 14

Palermo FC vs Genoa analysis

Palermo FC Genoa
63 ELO 71
-14.2% Tilt -9.4%
512º General ELO ranking 136º
28º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Palermo FC
28.1%
Draw
38.3%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
Palermo FC
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.2%
Win probability
Genoa
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palermo FC
+2%
+3%
Genoa

ELO progression

Palermo FC
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2001
COM
Como
3 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
54%
27%
19%
63 73 10 0
11 Nov. 2001
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
34%
29%
38%
62 71 9 +1
04 Nov. 2001
SIE
Siena
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
50%
25%
25%
62 63 1 0
29 Oct. 2001
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
32%
28%
41%
61 69 8 +1
14 Oct. 2001
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
45%
28%
28%
62 63 1 -1

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2001
GEN
Genoa
2 - 2
Vicenza
VIC
41%
26%
33%
71 77 6 0
11 Nov. 2001
COS
Cosenza Calcio
2 - 1
Genoa
GEN
38%
27%
35%
72 63 9 -1
05 Nov. 2001
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
42%
25%
34%
71 76 5 +1
28 Oct. 2001
GEN
Genoa
4 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
62%
21%
17%
70 64 6 +1
24 Oct. 2001
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
46%
28%
26%
70 79 9 0