Paide vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PAI
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAI
91%
8%
2%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 1
PAI
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PAI
0 - 1
TRA
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAI
4 - 0
AJA
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SIK
0 - 2
LEV
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 0
SIK
18%
22%
61%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SIK
0 - 3
KAL
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
SIK
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SIK
0 - 6
FLO
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |