Paide vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
7º
3º
77
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
PAI
15%
25%
60%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 3
PAI
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
KUR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TAB
1 - 3
PAI
20%
21%
60%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 3
LEV
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
TAM
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 2
LEV
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |