Paide II vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
9º
42
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
5 - 1
LEV
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 0
PAI
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
PAI
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 4
FCE
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 6
HJP
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 2
FCT
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FLO
6 - 1
TKA
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TKA
4 - 2
TAB
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
TKA
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |