Paide II vs Tabasalu Charma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
12
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 75 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 70 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 62 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
5º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 20 |
10º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 8
HJP
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VJK
5 - 0
PAI
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCT
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
PAI
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 0
TAB
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 0
FLO
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 1
TAB
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 3
TKA
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
TAB
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |