Esiliiga round 10

Paide II vs Tabasalu Charma analysis

Paide II Tabasalu Charma
47 ELO 49
33.4% Tilt 29.5%
4928º General ELO ranking 4478º
33º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Paide II
21.7%
Draw
44.2%
Tabasalu Charma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
Paide II
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.2%
Win probability
Tabasalu Charma
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paide II
-4%
-47%
Tabasalu Charma

Points and table prediction

Paide II
Their league position
Tabasalu Charma
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
16
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harju JK Laagri
78
78
100%
Viimsi JK
75
75
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
66
66
100%
Tartu Welco
60
60
100%
FC Tallinn
53
53
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
44
44
100%
Tallinna Kalev II
42
42
100%
FC Elva
41
41
100%
Paide II
25
25
100%
Tabasalu Charma
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Paide II
Tabasalu Charma
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Paide II
Tabasalu Charma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paide II
Paide II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2024
PAI
Paide II
2 - 8
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
26%
24%
51%
46 59 13 0
27 Apr. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
5 - 0
Paide II
PAI
70%
19%
12%
47 61 14 -1
21 Apr. 2024
PAI
Paide II
0 - 1
FC Tallinn
FCT
33%
24%
43%
47 54 7 0
15 Apr. 2024
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
3 - 0
Paide II
PAI
60%
21%
19%
48 56 8 -1
07 Apr. 2024
FCE
FC Elva
2 - 2
Paide II
PAI
43%
23%
35%
47 49 2 +1

Matches

Tabasalu Charma
Tabasalu Charma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
1 - 0
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
62%
21%
17%
51 62 11 0
28 Apr. 2024
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
2 - 0
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
31%
24%
45%
49 60 11 +2
21 Apr. 2024
FCE
FC Elva
3 - 1
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
39%
24%
38%
50 49 1 -1
14 Apr. 2024
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
3 - 3
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
44%
23%
33%
50 53 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
FCT
FC Tallinn
4 - 0
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
51%
22%
27%
51 54 3 -1