Paganese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USF
1 - 1
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
TER
1 - 0
PAG
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PES
1 - 0
PAG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
PAG
2 - 1
PRG
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SOR
3 - 1
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 7
SOR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 1
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GAL
3 - 1
SOR
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 2
JUS
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |