Serie C round 15

Paganese vs Sorrento analysis

Paganese Sorrento
52 ELO 55
-3.1% Tilt -10.6%
4400º General ELO ranking 2662º
171º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Paganese
26.7%
Draw
33.8%
Sorrento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Paganese
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
Sorrento
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

ELO41.844.346.849.351.854.356.859.361.764.266.769.271.774.276.779.2-78%-69.6%-61.1%-52.6%-44.1%-35.7%-27.2%-18.7%-10.2%-1.7%6.7%15.2%23.7%32.2%40.7%49.1%57.6%66.1%74.6%83%
← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paganese
-35%
+15%
Sorrento

ELO progression

48º50º52º54º56ºJan .08Apr .08Jul .08Nov .08
Paganese
Sorrento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2008
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 1
Paganese
PAG
68%
21%
11%
51 62 11 0
23 Nov. 2008
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 0
Paganese
PAG
49%
27%
24%
52 54 2 -1
16 Nov. 2008
PAG
Paganese
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
29%
28%
44%
52 62 10 0
09 Nov. 2008
PES
Pescara
1 - 0
Paganese
PAG
61%
22%
17%
52 57 5 0
02 Nov. 2008
PAG
Paganese
2 - 1
Perugia
PRG
28%
28%
45%
51 62 11 +1

Matches

Sorrento
Sorrento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2008
SOR
Sorrento
3 - 1
Pescara
PES
37%
27%
36%
55 59 4 0
26 Nov. 2008
GEL
Gela
1 - 7
Sorrento
SOR
25%
26%
49%
55 43 12 0
23 Nov. 2008
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
67%
20%
13%
54 61 7 +1
16 Nov. 2008
GAL
Gallipoli
3 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
59%
24%
18%
55 59 4 -1
09 Nov. 2008
SOR
Sorrento
1 - 2
Juve Stabia
JUS
53%
26%
22%
56 53 3 -1