Paganese vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
REG
2 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
RAV
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 0
USA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
PER
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
SPA
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BV5
1 - 0
PER
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
SAL
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |