Paderborn vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 0
DRE
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 3
PAD
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 3
KFC
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
LUB
3 - 2
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 1
OSN
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 2
BYM
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BYM
2 - 0
STP
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LEV
1 - 1
BYM
35%
25%
39%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
BYM
3 - 0
S04
65%
20%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
MON
1 - 0
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |