Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Paços de Ferreira vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
OKZ
0 - 2
ZIM
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
1 - 2
OKZ
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 1
ZIM
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ZIM
3 - 2
TIT
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |