Primeira Liga Jor. 21

Paços de Ferreira vs Vitória Setúbal analysis

Paços de Ferreira Vitória Setúbal
81 ELO 70
1.9% Tilt 1.2%
1758º General ELO ranking 4015º
28º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
64%
Paços de Ferreira
21.4%
Draw
14.6%
Vitória Setúbal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
Paços de Ferreira
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.6%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paços de Ferreira
+11%
+4%
Vitória Setúbal

ELO progression

Paços de Ferreira
Vitória Setúbal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paços de Ferreira
Paços de Ferreira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
72%
17%
11%
82 88 6 0
17 Feb. 2013
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
53%
24%
23%
82 78 4 0
11 Feb. 2013
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 3
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
66%
20%
14%
81 88 7 +1
04 Feb. 2013
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 0
Estoril
EST
66%
21%
13%
81 71 10 0
30 Jan. 2013
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
27%
24%
49%
81 88 7 0

Matches

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Setúbal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2013
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
61%
23%
16%
71 66 5 0
17 Feb. 2013
OLH
Olhanense
0 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
47%
27%
26%
70 72 2 +1
10 Feb. 2013
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
41%
26%
32%
69 74 5 +1
03 Feb. 2013
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
83%
12%
5%
70 88 18 -1
27 Jan. 2013
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 2
Nacional
NAC
34%
25%
41%
70 77 7 0
X