Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Paços de Ferreira vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 0
PAÇ
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BOA
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
LEX
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAÇ
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BMA
1 - 1
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
17%
21%
63%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
4 - 0
VVV
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |