Paços de Ferreira vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 3
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
79%
13%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OLH
0 - 0
PAÇ
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 6
RIO
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPB
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |