Paços de Ferreira U15 vs Avanca U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
4º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VBF
1 - 2
PAÇ
10%
15%
75%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 0
PAÇ
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SAL
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TBR
1 - 1
PAÇ
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avanca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 2
TBR
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 2
AVC
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 9
BOA
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 7
POR
3%
10%
87%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
9 - 0
AVC
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |