Pacific vs Saint Mary's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
52.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LML
1 - 0
PTG
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
0 - 1
SFD
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
1 - 2
SCB
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
2 - 1
PPT
43%
22%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PTG
1 - 2
SDT
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SFD
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SCB
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
2 - 0
GBD
84%
10%
5%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
0 - 0
SMG
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
USB
4 - 0
SMG
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |