Liga MX Apertura round 15

Pachuca vs Necaxa analysis

Pachuca Necaxa
83 ELO 75
11.6% Tilt -1%
274º General ELO ranking 880º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Pachuca
20.6%
Draw
15.3%
Necaxa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Pachuca
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.3%
Win probability
Necaxa
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca
-16%
-7%
Necaxa

Points and table prediction

Pachuca
Their league position
Necaxa
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
17º
16º
15
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cruz Azul
42
42
100%
Toluca
35
35
100%
Tigres UANL
34
34
100%
Monterrey
31
31
0%
Pumas UNAM
31
31
0%
Atl. San Luis
30
30
100%
América
27
27
100%
Tijuana
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
25
25
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
10º
22
22
10º
100%
León
11º
18
18
11º
100%
FC Juárez
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Necaxa
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Puebla
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Mazatlán
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Pachuca
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Querétaro
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pachuca
Necaxa
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Pachuca
Necaxa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
TIG
Tigres UANL
2 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
47%
25%
28%
82 84 2 0
23 Oct. 2024
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
35%
26%
40%
82 74 8 0
20 Oct. 2024
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
50%
25%
26%
82 84 2 0
05 Oct. 2024
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
31%
26%
44%
82 74 8 0
29 Sep. 2024
PAC
Pachuca
2 - 4
Cruz Azul
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
83 83 0 -1

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2024
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 3
Toluca
TOL
29%
25%
46%
76 84 8 0
23 Oct. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
62%
22%
16%
76 84 8 0
19 Oct. 2024
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
49%
25%
26%
76 74 2 0
06 Oct. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
61%
23%
17%
76 83 7 0
28 Sep. 2024
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
39%
27%
34%
76 74 2 0