Pachuca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 2
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 0
EST
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 3
CAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 4
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
0 - 1
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |