CONCACAF Champions Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Pachuca vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
PAC
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
CSH
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
AME
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AME
5 - 1
TOL
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
AME
5 - 2
NER
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |